AC Giacomense vs Lucchese Libertas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.7%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.7%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.3%
62%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
15.4%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.6%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.1%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Giacomense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
NOC
3 - 0
ACG
65%
21%
15%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
USP
0 - 0
ACG
36%
26%
37%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
ACG
0 - 0
VIN
53%
24%
23%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
ASC
0 - 2
ACG
55%
24%
21%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
ACG
1 - 0
GIU
33%
28%
39%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +2 |
Matches
Lucchese Libertas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
ASL
1 - 0
USP
80%
14%
5%
|
56 | 26 | 30 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
FOR
1 - 0
ASL
15%
23%
62%
|
57 | 29 | 28 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
ASL
1 - 1
SCA
78%
15%
7%
|
57 | 30 | 27 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2009 |
DER
2 - 0
ASL
17%
24%
59%
|
58 | 35 | 23 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2009 |
ASL
4 - 0
MPO
78%
15%
7%
|
58 | 33 | 25 | 0 |