Fulgens Foligno vs Orvietana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.4%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.7%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.6%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
36.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.6%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.8%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Fulgens Foligno
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2025 |
FUL
1 - 0
USP
51%
24%
25%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
LIV
2 - 1
FUL
64%
20%
16%
|
50 | 62 | 12 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
FUL
2 - 1
SER
43%
26%
31%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
GGV
1 - 1
FUL
45%
23%
31%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
FUL
1 - 2
ORV
53%
23%
24%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Orvietana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2025 |
SPO
0 - 0
ORV
28%
26%
45%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
ORV
3 - 0
FEZ
67%
21%
12%
|
52 | 39 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
GAV
1 - 4
ORV
50%
26%
25%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +2 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
ORV
1 - 0
ASF
46%
25%
29%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
FUL
1 - 2
ORV
53%
23%
24%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |