Cesena vs Virtus Entella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.4%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
42.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
CES
0 - 0
IMO
70%
18%
12%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
ASL
1 - 2
CES
17%
22%
61%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
CES
0 - 0
ASG
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2021 |
CES
3 - 1
PIS
76%
15%
9%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
FOR
2 - 2
CES
14%
19%
67%
|
53 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
ACD
2 - 0
ASL
77%
16%
7%
|
59 | 42 | 17 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
MON
3 - 1
ACD
22%
26%
52%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
ACD
2 - 0
TER
61%
23%
16%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
ACD
1 - 0
FIO
76%
16%
8%
|
59 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
ACD
1 - 1
ABN
60%
22%
19%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |