Cesena vs Virtus Entella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
16.4%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan. 2016 |
BRE
2 - 1
CES
47%
26%
27%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2015 |
CES
1 - 2
AVE
49%
26%
25%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2015 |
NOV
0 - 0
CES
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
CES
4 - 0
TER
59%
24%
17%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
LEO
2 - 0
CES
27%
29%
45%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Entella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan. 2016 |
ACD
4 - 0
ASC
54%
25%
21%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2015 |
ACD
1 - 2
CRO
29%
28%
43%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2015 |
AVE
2 - 0
ACD
56%
26%
19%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
ACD
4 - 1
VIC
40%
28%
32%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
PES
2 - 0
ACD
63%
22%
15%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |