Lega Pro Promotion Play-offs Quarter-finals
Global 0-0
Cesena vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
25.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
VIC
0 - 0
CES
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
USA
0 - 1
CES
17%
25%
58%
|
63 | 51 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
CES
2 - 0
VIS
80%
14%
6%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2023 |
SDT
1 - 6
CES
18%
25%
58%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
CES
1 - 1
ASL
76%
17%
7%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
VIC
0 - 0
CES
44%
26%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2023 |
VIC
2 - 0
PRO
61%
23%
17%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2023 |
PRO
2 - 1
VIC
23%
26%
51%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
PIA
1 - 0
VIC
20%
24%
56%
|
62 | 51 | 11 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
VIC
2 - 1
POR
52%
25%
23%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |