Cesena vs Vicenza analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
18.8%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2012 |
SAS
5 - 0
CES
64%
22%
13%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
LEO
1 - 3
CES
22%
28%
50%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
CES
1 - 1
BAR
39%
27%
34%
|
66 | 70 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
JUS
2 - 2
CES
52%
25%
23%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Dec. 2012 |
CES
1 - 3
EMP
47%
27%
27%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Vicenza
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2012 |
VIC
2 - 3
SPE
44%
27%
30%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2012 |
REG
1 - 0
VIC
59%
24%
18%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2012 |
VIC
3 - 3
MOD
36%
27%
37%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2012 |
EMP
2 - 0
VIC
64%
21%
15%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2012 |
VIC
3 - 3
LIV
29%
28%
43%
|
64 | 73 | 9 | 0 |