Cesena vs Avellino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.8%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
25.3%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2015 |
NOV
0 - 0
CES
44%
27%
29%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
CES
4 - 0
TER
59%
24%
17%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
LEO
2 - 0
CES
27%
29%
45%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2015 |
CES
0 - 0
TRA
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
CRO
2 - 0
CES
47%
27%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Avellino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2015 |
AVE
2 - 0
ACD
56%
26%
19%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
COM
0 - 1
AVE
19%
25%
56%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
AVE
3 - 2
VIR
56%
25%
19%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2015 |
AVE
1 - 0
LEO
58%
25%
17%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
TRA
2 - 1
AVE
47%
26%
28%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |