Cesena vs AlbinoLeffe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
18.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
CAR
0 - 0
CES
39%
30%
32%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
CES
2 - 3
SPA
59%
24%
17%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
PAD
3 - 1
CES
49%
28%
23%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -2 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
CES
0 - 3
TRI
52%
26%
22%
|
64 | 63 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
CES
0 - 2
PIS
62%
23%
15%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
AlbinoLeffe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2002 |
ABN
1 - 0
ARZ
51%
26%
23%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2002 |
VAR
2 - 0
ABN
49%
27%
24%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2002 |
ABN
2 - 0
ALV
56%
25%
20%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2002 |
SPA
1 - 1
ABN
54%
24%
22%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2002 |
LIV
4 - 0
ABN
75%
16%
9%
|
58 | 72 | 14 | 0 |