Cesena vs Ternana Calcio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.2%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
18.1%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
CES
2 - 0
ARZ
80%
15%
5%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
CES
2 - 1
SAN
78%
16%
6%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2016 |
CES
2 - 0
FIO
20%
23%
57%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2016 |
FOR
1 - 4
CES
9%
18%
73%
|
73 | 43 | 30 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2016 |
CES
1 - 2
SPE
48%
25%
27%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Ternana Calcio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
TER
2 - 0
POR
57%
24%
19%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2016 |
TER
3 - 2
BRE
39%
27%
34%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
VIR
1 - 1
TER
43%
28%
29%
|
65 | 65 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
TER
1 - 1
CES
32%
29%
39%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
COM
1 - 2
TER
33%
29%
38%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |