Cesena vs Virtus Lanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
13.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
19.4%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
CRO
1 - 2
CES
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
CES
1 - 0
VAR
39%
28%
33%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
AVE
1 - 0
CES
39%
26%
36%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
CES
4 - 1
PON
75%
16%
8%
|
67 | 45 | 22 | +1 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
CES
1 - 1
LEO
69%
20%
10%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
VIR
1 - 1
REG
30%
27%
43%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
BRE
2 - 2
VIR
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
VIR
0 - 2
BEN
39%
25%
36%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | -2 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
NOV
1 - 1
VIR
72%
18%
10%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
VIR
2 - 2
SAS
16%
24%
60%
|
62 | 78 | 16 | +1 |