Cesena vs Virtus Lanciano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.8%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.2%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
19.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
SPE
1 - 0
CES
41%
26%
33%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2013 |
CES
0 - 0
VER
33%
29%
38%
|
69 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
BRE
2 - 1
CES
48%
27%
26%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 2013 |
CES
2 - 0
PAD
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
GRO
1 - 2
CES
42%
26%
33%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Virtus Lanciano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2013 |
VIR
1 - 1
TER
44%
30%
27%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
BAR
4 - 3
VIR
60%
24%
17%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
VIR
1 - 1
JUS
36%
28%
36%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2013 |
VIR
2 - 0
VIC
44%
28%
28%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
LIV
2 - 0
VIR
72%
18%
10%
|
62 | 73 | 11 | 0 |