Cesena vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
MAN
0 - 4
CES
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2020 |
LEG
0 - 1
CES
14%
20%
66%
|
53 | 40 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
CES
0 - 0
MOD
55%
25%
21%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
MAT
2 - 2
CES
28%
23%
48%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2020 |
CES
4 - 0
RAV
74%
16%
9%
|
52 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2020 |
SSS
2 - 3
MAT
57%
24%
19%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2020 |
TRI
0 - 1
SSS
47%
26%
27%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2020 |
ARZ
2 - 3
SSS
41%
25%
34%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Nov. 2020 |
SSS
1 - 1
LEG
63%
21%
15%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
RAV
1 - 1
SSS
22%
24%
54%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |