Cesena vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.7%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.4%
15.9%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2019 |
VIC
2 - 1
CES
29%
27%
44%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
CES
1 - 0
IMO
72%
17%
10%
|
61 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
PAD
1 - 0
CES
44%
28%
29%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
CES
1 - 1
PIA
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
CES
3 - 2
TRI
66%
20%
14%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2019 |
SSS
0 - 2
FER
63%
22%
15%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2019 |
SSS
4 - 2
PIA
35%
27%
38%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
RAV
0 - 2
SSS
39%
27%
34%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
SSS
1 - 1
MOD
52%
25%
23%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
FER
1 - 1
SSS
21%
24%
55%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |