Cesena vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.5%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.8%
15.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
POR
0 - 2
CES
33%
27%
40%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
CES
3 - 2
RAV
46%
25%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +1 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
REG
1 - 0
CES
39%
27%
34%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
CES
2 - 1
VER
59%
24%
17%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
USC
1 - 2
CES
52%
24%
24%
|
59 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
SSS
4 - 2
VER
37%
30%
33%
|
50 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
PER
2 - 1
SSS
49%
27%
24%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
SSS
0 - 1
NOV
32%
28%
39%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
REG
1 - 0
SSS
54%
26%
21%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
SSS
0 - 3
PRO
35%
28%
36%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |