Cesena vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
14.8%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
20.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
28.8%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
13.6%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.2%
0
26.2%
12.9%
Win probability
0.52
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1987 |
ARZ
1 - 1
CES
43%
32%
25%
|
65 | 62 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1987 |
CES
2 - 0
PES
50%
29%
22%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 1987 |
CAT
0 - 0
CES
46%
30%
24%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 1987 |
CES
1 - 0
BOL
53%
29%
18%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1987 |
GEN
1 - 1
CES
57%
26%
17%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 1987 |
SSS
1 - 0
TRI
38%
34%
28%
|
59 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 1987 |
GEN
3 - 1
SSS
64%
25%
11%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 1987 |
SSS
0 - 2
BAR
43%
34%
23%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1987 |
TAR
0 - 0
SSS
39%
35%
26%
|
61 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 1987 |
SSS
3 - 1
MOD
49%
31%
20%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | +1 |