Cesena vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
61.2%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
+3
9.4%
2-0
14%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
17.7%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
11.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
24.8%
14%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1985 |
BRE
2 - 1
CES
48%
31%
21%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1985 |
CES
2 - 1
ASS
62%
25%
13%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 1985 |
PRG
0 - 0
CES
49%
31%
21%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 1985 |
VIC
0 - 1
CES
56%
27%
17%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 1985 |
CES
3 - 1
LAZ
52%
28%
20%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 1985 |
SSS
0 - 0
TRI
41%
32%
27%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 1985 |
SSS
0 - 2
BOL
48%
32%
20%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 1985 |
CAM
1 - 0
SSS
47%
32%
21%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Nov. 1985 |
SSS
2 - 1
CAT
48%
31%
21%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Nov. 1985 |
BRE
0 - 1
SSS
53%
29%
18%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | +1 |