Cesena vs Sambenedettese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.4%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
17.9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.5%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
12.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
17.7%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 1979 |
LEC
2 - 0
CES
46%
30%
25%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
CES
3 - 1
BRE
49%
30%
21%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 May. 1979 |
UDI
1 - 1
CES
59%
25%
16%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1979 |
CES
2 - 0
USF
43%
31%
26%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1979 |
TAR
1 - 0
CES
38%
32%
30%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Sambenedettese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jun. 1979 |
SSS
1 - 0
PES
38%
33%
29%
|
58 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 1979 |
TAR
2 - 0
SSS
45%
32%
24%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 May. 1979 |
SSS
0 - 0
TER
47%
30%
23%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 1979 |
PAL
2 - 2
SSS
56%
28%
16%
|
58 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 May. 1979 |
VAR
2 - 2
SSS
49%
31%
20%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | -1 |