Cesena vs SPAL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
11%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
25%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
20%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1969 |
LEC
1 - 1
CES
43%
27%
29%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1969 |
CES
0 - 0
LIV
61%
23%
16%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1969 |
TER
1 - 1
CES
50%
25%
25%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1969 |
CES
1 - 0
USF
42%
27%
31%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 May. 1969 |
LAZ
2 - 0
CES
60%
24%
17%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
SPAL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 1969 |
MOD
1 - 0
SPA
46%
29%
25%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1969 |
SPA
0 - 0
BRE
42%
29%
29%
|
64 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 May. 1969 |
COM
1 - 0
SPA
47%
29%
25%
|
65 | 60 | 5 | -1 |
| 11 May. 1969 |
SPA
0 - 0
REG
50%
27%
24%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1969 |
SPA
1 - 1
GEN
55%
26%
19%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |