Cesena vs Sampdoria analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.2%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
54.3%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5.9%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
16.7%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1999 |
CES
1 - 0
FCS
82%
13%
5%
|
70 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1999 |
PAL
2 - 3
CES
43%
28%
30%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 1999 |
COS
2 - 1
CES
45%
28%
27%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Jun. 1999 |
CES
2 - 2
GEN
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 30 May. 1999 |
CHI
0 - 0
CES
57%
25%
18%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sampdoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 1999 |
SAM
4 - 1
PAL
86%
10%
4%
|
85 | 64 | 21 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 1999 |
FCS
1 - 3
SAM
4%
13%
83%
|
85 | 48 | 37 | 0 |
| 23 May. 1999 |
SAM
1 - 0
BAR
61%
21%
18%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 May. 1999 |
BOL
2 - 2
SAM
57%
22%
21%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 May. 1999 |
SAM
3 - 2
FIO
39%
26%
36%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |