Cesena vs Pistoiese analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
19.6%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
VAR
0 - 0
CES
35%
28%
37%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2003 |
CES
0 - 0
SPA
61%
23%
16%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
ACP
2 - 1
CES
26%
27%
48%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
CES
2 - 2
REG
61%
22%
18%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
CAR
0 - 1
CES
29%
28%
43%
|
64 | 52 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Pistoiese
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2003 |
PIS
1 - 1
PRO
39%
27%
34%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2003 |
PIS
0 - 0
REG
42%
26%
32%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
ABN
1 - 1
PIS
58%
24%
18%
|
58 | 66 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2003 |
PIS
1 - 0
SPA
46%
28%
26%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2003 |
ASL
0 - 0
PIS
44%
27%
29%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | +1 |