Cesena vs Parma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
31.6%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.1%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.8%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
42.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
UDI
1 - 0
CES
72%
19%
9%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
CES
1 - 4
NAP
30%
28%
42%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
CAT
2 - 0
CES
60%
25%
16%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
CES
1 - 0
LEC
36%
26%
38%
|
74 | 77 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 2010 |
CES
2 - 0
ACM
16%
24%
61%
|
73 | 89 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Parma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
PAR
0 - 1
ACM
23%
26%
51%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2010 |
FIO
2 - 0
PAR
61%
21%
18%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2010 |
LEC
1 - 1
PAR
36%
27%
38%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2010 |
PAR
1 - 1
GEN
45%
26%
28%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2010 |
CAT
2 - 1
PAR
42%
26%
32%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | 0 |