Cesena vs Novara analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
24%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
TER
1 - 1
CES
32%
29%
39%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2016 |
CES
2 - 1
LEO
64%
22%
14%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
TRA
2 - 1
CES
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2016 |
CES
2 - 1
CRO
40%
28%
32%
|
73 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
PES
1 - 0
CES
49%
26%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Novara
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
NOV
2 - 0
ASC
57%
23%
19%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
TRA
0 - 0
NOV
56%
23%
21%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2016 |
NOV
2 - 2
PRG
47%
27%
25%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2016 |
VIR
2 - 1
NOV
31%
28%
41%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
NOV
2 - 1
LIV
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | +1 |