Cesena vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.8%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.5%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
23.1%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
ABN
3 - 3
CES
38%
28%
34%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
CES
1 - 1
RIM
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
MOD
0 - 1
CES
43%
28%
30%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Nov. 2006 |
CES
2 - 1
FRO
63%
21%
16%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
MAN
4 - 3
CES
41%
28%
31%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 2006 |
PAR
3 - 1
NAP
73%
18%
9%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
NAP
1 - 1
FRO
60%
24%
17%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
PES
0 - 1
NAP
30%
28%
42%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2006 |
NAP
1 - 0
BOL
38%
29%
33%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2006 |
BAR
0 - 1
NAP
43%
29%
28%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |