Cesena vs Montegiorgio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.6%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.5%
4-0
9.1%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
+4
11.2%
3-0
14.3%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
16.9%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.6%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.5%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
1.4%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.2%
4.1%
Win probability
0.41
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.1%
2-3
0.2%
3-4
0%
-1
3.4%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.6%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
CAM
0 - 0
CES
7%
20%
73%
|
66 | 31 | 35 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
CES
1 - 2
PIN
80%
14%
6%
|
66 | 39 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2019 |
SAV
1 - 1
CES
9%
20%
71%
|
67 | 33 | 34 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
CES
3 - 1
ISE
84%
12%
4%
|
66 | 25 | 41 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
REC
2 - 1
CES
10%
21%
70%
|
67 | 36 | 31 | -1 |
Matches
Montegiorgio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
PIN
0 - 0
MON
67%
19%
14%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2019 |
MON
0 - 1
ASD
62%
19%
19%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2019 |
ISE
1 - 0
MON
26%
23%
51%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | -2 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
MON
3 - 2
CAM
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
JES
0 - 0
MON
41%
24%
35%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |