Lega Pro Promotion Play-offs Last 16
Global 2-4
Cesena vs Monopoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
22%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
MON
1 - 2
CES
37%
27%
36%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
SIE
0 - 0
CES
22%
26%
52%
|
57 | 47 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 2022 |
CES
6 - 0
CAR
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2022 |
MON
4 - 0
CES
21%
25%
54%
|
57 | 46 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2022 |
CES
1 - 0
ACD
38%
27%
36%
|
57 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Monopoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2022 |
MON
1 - 2
CES
37%
27%
36%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2022 |
MON
1 - 0
FRA
47%
28%
26%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2022 |
MON
1 - 1
PIC
48%
27%
26%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2022 |
MON
2 - 1
FIA
59%
25%
17%
|
55 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2022 |
LAT
0 - 0
MON
28%
28%
44%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |