Cesena vs Modena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.9%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
27.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.1%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
OLB
0 - 1
CES
32%
26%
43%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
VIT
0 - 1
CES
33%
26%
41%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
CES
1 - 2
ACD
33%
24%
43%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
CES
0 - 0
IMO
70%
18%
12%
|
54 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2021 |
ASL
1 - 2
CES
17%
22%
61%
|
54 | 42 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Modena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
MOD
1 - 2
ACD
40%
27%
33%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2021 |
FER
0 - 4
MOD
22%
29%
49%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2021 |
MOD
4 - 0
IMO
67%
20%
13%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | +1 |
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
MOD
0 - 0
TER
55%
25%
20%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2021 |
MOD
1 - 1
REG
42%
27%
31%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |