Cesena vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.1%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
32.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2006 |
PIA
4 - 0
CES
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2006 |
CES
0 - 0
TRE
60%
23%
18%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2006 |
CES
1 - 1
NAP
51%
26%
23%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2006 |
ABN
3 - 3
CES
38%
28%
34%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2006 |
CES
1 - 1
RIM
53%
25%
22%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2006 |
LEC
1 - 2
VIC
72%
18%
10%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2006 |
SPE
0 - 2
LEC
22%
26%
52%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2006 |
LEC
1 - 3
BAR
64%
22%
14%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2006 |
BOL
3 - 1
LEC
52%
24%
23%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2006 |
LEC
2 - 1
BRE
46%
26%
29%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |