Cesena vs Genoa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
12%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
17.3%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
27.1%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
12%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
18.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1990 |
ASC
0 - 0
CES
59%
24%
17%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1990 |
CES
2 - 2
BAR
48%
29%
23%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1990 |
UDI
1 - 0
CES
57%
24%
19%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 1990 |
LAZ
4 - 0
CES
57%
25%
18%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1990 |
CES
0 - 0
ATL
37%
29%
33%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Genoa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1990 |
GEN
0 - 0
BAR
48%
29%
24%
|
74 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1990 |
NAP
2 - 1
GEN
82%
13%
5%
|
75 | 89 | 14 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 1990 |
JUV
1 - 1
GEN
82%
14%
5%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1990 |
GEN
0 - 0
UDI
52%
27%
21%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1990 |
SAM
0 - 0
GEN
78%
16%
6%
|
74 | 88 | 14 | 0 |