Cesena vs Frosinone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.3%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
35.4%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec. 2007 |
CES
0 - 1
LEC
26%
26%
48%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
CES
1 - 1
SPE
43%
27%
31%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
TRI
2 - 1
CES
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
RIM
4 - 1
CES
60%
23%
18%
|
61 | 72 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2007 |
MAN
4 - 1
CES
52%
26%
23%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Frosinone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2007 |
MAN
3 - 2
FRO
51%
27%
22%
|
65 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
FRO
4 - 1
GRO
47%
26%
27%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2007 |
ASC
2 - 0
FRO
69%
19%
12%
|
64 | 75 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
FRO
2 - 2
PIA
43%
27%
31%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2007 |
TRE
2 - 1
FRO
37%
27%
36%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | -1 |