Cesena vs Frosinone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.3%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
15.8%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
MAN
4 - 3
CES
41%
28%
31%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2006 |
CES
0 - 1
TRI
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
CES
2 - 0
ARZ
58%
24%
19%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
GEN
4 - 3
CES
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
CES
1 - 0
BAR
57%
24%
19%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Frosinone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Nov. 2006 |
FRO
2 - 1
BOL
25%
29%
47%
|
60 | 76 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2006 |
FRO
2 - 1
LEC
23%
25%
53%
|
59 | 73 | 14 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2006 |
JUV
1 - 0
FRO
86%
10%
4%
|
59 | 91 | 32 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
FRO
0 - 1
PIA
37%
27%
36%
|
59 | 67 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
PES
0 - 2
FRO
51%
25%
24%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | +1 |