Cesena vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
40.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
32.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
10.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
PES
1 - 0
CES
49%
26%
26%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
CES
1 - 1
VIC
63%
22%
15%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2016 |
BAR
0 - 0
CES
44%
27%
29%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
CES
3 - 0
LAT
63%
23%
14%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
VIR
2 - 0
CES
30%
29%
41%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2016 |
CRO
0 - 0
SPE
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
TER
1 - 2
CRO
29%
29%
43%
|
75 | 67 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
CRO
1 - 0
VIR
63%
22%
15%
|
75 | 66 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
AVE
0 - 0
CRO
33%
28%
39%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2016 |
CRO
4 - 2
PES
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | 0 |