Cesena vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
26.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
CES
2 - 1
LEO
66%
21%
13%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
CES
2 - 3
ROM
17%
23%
61%
|
71 | 86 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
NOV
3 - 0
CES
55%
25%
20%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2012 |
CES
0 - 1
UDI
19%
25%
56%
|
72 | 86 | 14 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
INT
2 - 1
CES
84%
11%
5%
|
72 | 89 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2012 |
CRO
3 - 2
VIR
71%
18%
11%
|
69 | 58 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
CRO
4 - 1
BRE
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2012 |
ASC
3 - 2
CRO
48%
26%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2012 |
CRO
3 - 1
NOC
67%
20%
13%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
SAS
2 - 0
CRO
56%
25%
19%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |