Cesena vs Crotone analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.7%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
18.3%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
CTT
1 - 1
CES
45%
28%
27%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
CES
0 - 0
GAL
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2010 |
REG
1 - 3
CES
61%
23%
16%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
CES
3 - 0
PIA
53%
25%
22%
|
67 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 2010 |
MOD
1 - 0
CES
49%
27%
24%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Crotone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
CRO
2 - 1
EMP
33%
29%
38%
|
62 | 74 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
MAN
2 - 1
CRO
56%
25%
20%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
BRE
3 - 0
CRO
62%
23%
15%
|
63 | 73 | 10 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2010 |
CRO
1 - 2
SAS
36%
27%
37%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
ASC
3 - 1
CRO
59%
23%
19%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | -1 |