Cesena vs Catanzaro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.5%
3-0
8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
14%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2004 |
TOR
0 - 0
CES
66%
21%
13%
|
66 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
CES
1 - 3
VIC
46%
26%
28%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
PRG
1 - 1
CES
80%
15%
6%
|
66 | 85 | 19 | +1 |
| 06 Oct. 2004 |
VNZ
0 - 2
CES
46%
27%
27%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
CES
0 - 1
VER
48%
25%
27%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Catanzaro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2004 |
FCC
2 - 1
MOD
21%
29%
50%
|
59 | 77 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2004 |
PIA
2 - 1
FCC
76%
17%
7%
|
60 | 75 | 15 | -1 |
| 10 Oct. 2004 |
FCC
3 - 0
SAL
38%
27%
35%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +2 |
| 06 Oct. 2004 |
ABN
1 - 1
FCC
65%
22%
12%
|
58 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2004 |
FCC
2 - 2
CRO
35%
27%
38%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |