Cesena vs AC Carpi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.2%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
27.9%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.9%
30.5%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2016 |
CES
1 - 1
PRG
54%
26%
21%
|
74 | 71 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
CES
2 - 0
TER
59%
23%
18%
|
74 | 67 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
CES
2 - 0
ARZ
80%
15%
5%
|
73 | 51 | 22 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2016 |
CES
2 - 1
SAN
78%
16%
6%
|
73 | 53 | 20 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2016 |
CES
2 - 0
FIO
20%
23%
57%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
AC Carpi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CAR
1 - 1
BEN
68%
20%
12%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
VIC
0 - 2
CAR
29%
30%
41%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
PRG
2 - 1
CAR
30%
28%
42%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
SPA
1 - 3
CAR
28%
27%
45%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
CAR
3 - 2
MAC
79%
15%
6%
|
77 | 54 | 23 | 0 |