Cesena vs AC Carpi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.2%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
15.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.4%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
9.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.6%
17.2%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2013 |
PAL
2 - 1
CES
73%
17%
10%
|
67 | 78 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2013 |
CES
0 - 1
VIR
56%
25%
20%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2013 |
CRO
1 - 2
CES
50%
25%
25%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2013 |
CES
1 - 0
VAR
39%
28%
33%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
AVE
1 - 0
CES
39%
26%
36%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
AC Carpi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2013 |
CAR
0 - 2
EMP
24%
28%
48%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2013 |
SPE
0 - 2
CAR
64%
22%
14%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2013 |
TER
1 - 0
CAR
54%
26%
20%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Aug. 2013 |
REG
1 - 0
CAR
58%
23%
19%
|
62 | 68 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Jun. 2013 |
LEC
1 - 1
CAR
71%
18%
10%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | +1 |