Cesena vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.1%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.8%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
22.1%
14.8%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.6%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2010 |
FRO
0 - 2
CES
41%
28%
31%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2010 |
CES
2 - 3
EMP
43%
28%
29%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
TOR
1 - 1
CES
59%
25%
17%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
CES
3 - 1
MAN
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
ABN
1 - 2
CES
53%
26%
21%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2010 |
PAD
1 - 1
SAS
29%
28%
43%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2010 |
VIC
0 - 0
PAD
52%
26%
22%
|
62 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
EMP
4 - 0
PAD
70%
19%
10%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2010 |
PAD
1 - 1
LEC
21%
24%
55%
|
63 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2010 |
SAL
0 - 0
PAD
43%
27%
30%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |