Cesena vs Padova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.3%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.7%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
21.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
NOV
0 - 0
CES
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
CES
1 - 1
SPA
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
REG
2 - 2
CES
35%
28%
37%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
CES
2 - 0
PIS
53%
25%
22%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
VAR
3 - 1
CES
33%
29%
38%
|
63 | 54 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Padova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2003 |
PAD
4 - 0
ACP
60%
22%
18%
|
59 | 52 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2003 |
PAV
2 - 0
PAD
38%
27%
36%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
PAD
1 - 0
SAS
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 48 | 12 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2003 |
CTT
2 - 1
PAD
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Nov. 2003 |
PAD
0 - 0
SPE
52%
25%
24%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |