Cesena vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.7%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
27.3%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2016 |
AVE
1 - 2
CES
32%
29%
39%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
CES
1 - 0
NOV
51%
26%
24%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
TER
1 - 1
CES
32%
29%
39%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2016 |
CES
2 - 1
LEO
64%
22%
14%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
TRA
2 - 1
CES
51%
25%
24%
|
73 | 73 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2016 |
SPE
0 - 0
ASC
65%
22%
14%
|
74 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
COM
4 - 0
SPE
21%
28%
51%
|
75 | 57 | 18 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2016 |
SPE
2 - 1
BRE
53%
25%
22%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | +1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
LAT
0 - 0
SPE
29%
29%
43%
|
75 | 65 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
VIC
0 - 3
SPE
30%
29%
40%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |