Cesena vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.6%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.6%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.7%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
15.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
CES
2 - 1
BRE
36%
27%
37%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
VER
2 - 1
CES
29%
26%
45%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Jan. 2007 |
JUV
2 - 1
CES
74%
17%
9%
|
67 | 91 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
CES
0 - 0
LEC
42%
26%
33%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2006 |
PIA
4 - 0
CES
46%
26%
28%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 2007 |
SPE
1 - 1
JUV
9%
22%
69%
|
59 | 91 | 32 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
TRE
3 - 0
SPE
51%
27%
23%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2007 |
SPE
3 - 3
PIA
27%
29%
44%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2006 |
RIM
2 - 1
SPE
63%
22%
15%
|
60 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2006 |
SPE
0 - 2
LEC
22%
26%
52%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |