Cesena vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.4%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
ACL
1 - 2
CES
32%
28%
41%
|
65 | 56 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
CES
0 - 1
TRE
52%
25%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
LEC
1 - 2
CES
30%
28%
42%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
CES
3 - 2
REG
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
ASS
0 - 0
CES
37%
29%
35%
|
66 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2001 |
SPE
2 - 1
CAR
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2001 |
PIS
0 - 1
SPE
41%
28%
31%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2001 |
SPE
1 - 1
VAR
56%
24%
20%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2001 |
ALV
1 - 1
SPE
31%
27%
42%
|
61 | 53 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2001 |
TRE
0 - 0
SPE
58%
23%
19%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | 0 |