Cesena vs Cittadella analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
19.3%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2013 |
SPE
2 - 1
CES
44%
27%
29%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2013 |
CES
1 - 1
TER
59%
25%
16%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2013 |
NOV
1 - 1
CES
54%
25%
22%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2013 |
CES
2 - 1
BAR
46%
27%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
JUS
0 - 2
CES
40%
27%
33%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Cittadella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2013 |
CTT
0 - 1
PES
35%
26%
39%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
SIE
1 - 1
CTT
72%
19%
10%
|
62 | 79 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2013 |
CTT
1 - 2
AVE
37%
27%
36%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2013 |
BRE
4 - 1
CTT
56%
24%
20%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2013 |
CTT
1 - 0
PAD
44%
26%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | +1 |