Cesena vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.9%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.3%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23.7%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
CES
2 - 1
ASG
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
CES
0 - 3
LEG
75%
16%
9%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2021 |
FER
0 - 0
CES
41%
26%
34%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
MOD
1 - 0
CES
41%
26%
34%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
CES
2 - 2
MAT
61%
22%
17%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
RAV
0 - 2
MAN
19%
23%
59%
|
49 | 40 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
MAN
0 - 1
FER
39%
25%
36%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
MAN
3 - 2
VIR
52%
24%
24%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2021 |
MOD
1 - 1
MAN
56%
23%
21%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2021 |
MAN
1 - 1
FCS
33%
27%
40%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | 0 |