Cesena vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.9%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.3%
21.7%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
ABN
1 - 2
CES
53%
26%
21%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2010 |
CES
0 - 2
ANC
52%
26%
23%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -2 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
GRO
1 - 1
CES
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2010 |
BRE
0 - 1
CES
58%
25%
17%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
CES
3 - 1
VIC
49%
27%
24%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2010 |
MAN
1 - 1
PIA
47%
28%
26%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2010 |
BRE
1 - 0
MAN
57%
25%
18%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
MAN
1 - 0
VIC
51%
26%
23%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2010 |
EMP
4 - 0
MAN
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
MAN
2 - 1
PAD
56%
25%
19%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | 0 |