Cesena vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.1%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
25.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
CES
2 - 1
GEN
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2007 |
BAR
0 - 2
CES
39%
27%
35%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
TRI
3 - 1
CES
38%
27%
36%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
CES
1 - 4
BOL
40%
28%
32%
|
67 | 74 | 7 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
PES
1 - 0
CES
29%
25%
46%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2007 |
BOL
1 - 1
MAN
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2007 |
MAN
0 - 0
SPE
57%
25%
18%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
VIC
0 - 0
MAN
44%
28%
28%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2007 |
MAN
1 - 1
TRI
55%
26%
19%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2007 |
CRO
2 - 1
MAN
41%
28%
31%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | -1 |