Cesena vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.7%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
21.4%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
ACP
0 - 0
CES
22%
27%
51%
|
64 | 49 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
PIS
0 - 2
CES
39%
29%
32%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
CES
2 - 1
CTT
58%
23%
19%
|
63 | 58 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
SPE
1 - 1
CES
40%
29%
31%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
CES
4 - 1
PRO
70%
19%
11%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2004 |
ARZ
1 - 0
PIS
55%
24%
21%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2004 |
SPE
2 - 1
ARZ
40%
28%
32%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2004 |
ARZ
2 - 0
PAV
65%
21%
15%
|
60 | 51 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 2004 |
ARZ
1 - 0
ACP
63%
21%
16%
|
60 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2004 |
CTT
1 - 0
ARZ
45%
26%
29%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |