Cesena vs SS Arezzo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
12.8%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Cesena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
CES
2 - 0
ALZ
61%
22%
17%
|
63 | 59 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
ASL
0 - 2
CES
50%
27%
24%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +2 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
CES
4 - 1
CTT
44%
26%
30%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
ABN
2 - 2
CES
44%
28%
28%
|
60 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2002 |
PAD
2 - 3
CES
56%
25%
19%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
SS Arezzo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2002 |
CTT
2 - 1
ARZ
65%
21%
15%
|
53 | 62 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
ARZ
4 - 3
REG
45%
26%
29%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
ARZ
2 - 2
ACP
61%
21%
19%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
PRO
1 - 0
ARZ
70%
18%
12%
|
53 | 63 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
ARZ
0 - 0
CAR
50%
25%
24%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |