AC Castellana vs ASD Villa Verucchio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.9%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
20%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
9.5%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
15.6%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Castellana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
CLZ
3 - 0
ACC
43%
25%
33%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
ACC
0 - 0
MEZ
43%
24%
33%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
PDC
1 - 1
ACC
60%
21%
19%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
ACC
1 - 1
FIO
27%
24%
49%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
ABM
1 - 1
ACC
65%
20%
15%
|
22 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
ASD Villa Verucchio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2008 |
ASV
2 - 1
UCL
51%
23%
26%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2008 |
SUC
1 - 1
ASV
72%
17%
11%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2008 |
ASV
1 - 2
CRO
19%
23%
58%
|
17 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2008 |
VIR
1 - 0
ASV
74%
16%
10%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
ASV
1 - 0
ACE
13%
21%
66%
|
14 | 35 | 21 | +4 |