AC Bellinzona vs YF Juventus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.8%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.3%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.4%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.2%
16%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
MUN
2 - 0
BEL
25%
24%
51%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
BEL
2 - 1
FCZ
49%
23%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
BAS
0 - 2
BEL
54%
21%
25%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Jul. 2018 |
LUG
5 - 1
BEL
75%
16%
9%
|
54 | 75 | 21 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2018 |
BEL
5 - 1
RSZ
74%
16%
10%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
YF Juventus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Aug. 2018 |
LAC
1 - 0
YFJ
35%
24%
40%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2018 |
YFJ
0 - 0
SCB
45%
23%
32%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
YFJ
1 - 2
CHA
42%
23%
35%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2018 |
BRE
6 - 3
YFJ
45%
24%
31%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 May. 2018 |
YFJ
4 - 4
UZU
81%
12%
7%
|
51 | 37 | 14 | 0 |