AC Bellinzona vs Neuchâtel Xamax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.8%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.2%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
36.9%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
4º
10º
7º
41
2º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
53 | 53 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 53 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
51 | 51 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 28 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AC Bellinzona
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
WIL
2 - 2
BEL
46%
25%
28%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
BEL
2 - 1
STA
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
BEL
3 - 1
FCV
20%
24%
56%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +2 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
ETO
7 - 0
BEL
56%
23%
21%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2025 |
BEL
1 - 1
FCA
17%
22%
61%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Neuchâtel Xamax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2025 |
NEX
0 - 2
THU
21%
23%
56%
|
72 | 83 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
STA
0 - 0
NEX
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2025 |
NEX
1 - 1
FCA
23%
23%
54%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
FCV
2 - 1
NEX
54%
24%
23%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2025 |
NEX
6 - 2
SCH
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |